The Big Wobble |
- An explosive storm surpassing the intensity of 2012's Superstorm Sandy set to smash Alaska!
- Boom: Region 2205 has just unleashed an X1.6 solar flare after unleashing 7 M-class flares in the last three days
- Harsh Winter? We could be looking at cold temperatures humans shouldn't have to bare and probably never have before!
- 20 tons of dead Shad fish washed up in Ganabara Bay in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Strange earthquake swarm have Oregon and Nevada residents worried after 316 quakes in a week
- Sunspot AR2205 unleashes 7 strong M-class solar flares and will be facing Earth this weekend
- Magnitude 6.6 has been recorded 72km NNE of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea, Third major quake this week!
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 11:20 AM PST An explosive storm surpassing the intensity of 2012's Superstorm Sandy is expected to reach Alaska's western Aleutian Islands over the weekend and bring unseasonably frigid temperatures to much of the U.S. next week, weather forecasters said Thursday. What remains of Typhoon Nuri is moving northeast from off the Japanese coast and is mixing with cold air and the jet stream, which will give it the power to produce hurricane-force winds and waves 50 feet high. It could arrive late Friday or Saturday before weakening in the Bering Sea, the National Weather Service said. The storm potentially could be one of the most intensive to ever hit the North Pacific, weather service forecaster Brian Hurley said. The Coast Guard and Alaska state emergency responders were keeping a close eye on its strength. The system is expected to push cold air into much of the continental U.S. next week, forecaster Bob Oravec said. By the weekend, high temperatures in Minneapolis will only reach the upper 20s, and mid-30s are expected in Chicago - more than 15 degrees below normal. Snow also is coming to areas including the northern Rockies and northern Plains. "It looks like winter's starting early," Oravec said. While Sandy caused destruction along the urban East Coast, Nuri's target in the north is a sparsely populated region with a few small communities that are accustomed to severe weather. In fact, 69 mph wind gusts blew in last week in the western Aleutian town of Adak, a former Naval Air Station east of Nuri's direct route that retains its military appearance. To prepare for the storm, the community's 100 year-round residents were tying down loose items like picnic tables, storage containers and pallets, and parking cars differently so doors won't get blown off, city manager Layton Lockett said. A multiuse building that houses the town's school can also be used as an emergency center if necessary. "If it gets really bad, you know, everybody'll come over here, camp out a little bit, have fun and drink cocoa," Lockett said. The storm's path includes a busy maritime route for cargo ships traveling to or from Asia, as well as the red king crab fishery made famous by the Discovery Channel reality show "Deadliest Catch." Vessels are finding protected harbors or moving away from the path, according to Brett Farrell with the Marine Exchange of Alaska, a nonprofit maritime organization. No one in their right mind would stick around that area, he said. With most of the red king crab quota caught, the season is winding down, said Mark Gleason, executive director of the Seattle-based trade association Alaska Bering Sea Crabbers. He said the coming storm is huge but the fleet has decades of experience dealing with severe conditions. Crews will hunker down and wait out the weather, then move on and do the job that needs to be done, he said. "This isn't some kid's sailing class," Gleason said. "These guys are professionals. They know what they're doing." Officials are also closely watching the western coast of Alaska's mainland, according to Jeremy Zidek, a spokesman for the state Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Management. Fall storms routinely batter many coastal communities, and erosion has long been a problem. Source Earth wind map Related Average snow cover extent for the latest month. Remember how evidence was mounting last month that early snowfall was accumulating across... Flooding has hit Italy's agricultural heartland in the fertile north, destroying agricultural lands and products and sparking accusations of... Written and analyzed by Gary Walton Just over two weeks ago I posted an article "The Day AfterTomorrow" Is the "Gulf Stream" stalling? a huge... | ||||||||
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 10:32 AM PST NOAA are predicting a strong chance of flares from Region 2205 as it migrates towards the center of the solar disk. It has produced three M2-flares (R1-Minor) in the last 8 hours, 7 M-class in the last three days and in the last minutes an X-class flare, AR 2205 will be facing Earth this weekend, we could be in for some fireworks. Based on its location, Region 2205 still has approximately 10 more days on the visible disk, with chances increasing each day that any coronal mass ejection (CME) produced could connect with the Sun/Earth magnetic field lines. Forecasters are awaiting SOHO LASCO coronagraph imagery to filter in so they can analyse the CMEs associated with these last few flares. The X1.6 solar flare was recorded at 17:26 UTC Friday. Solar Ham Spaceweather NOAA Related NOAA are predicting a strong chance of flares as Region 2205 continues to produce M-class flares. as it migrates towards the center of the... A huge fireball has been filmed shooting across the sky in Western Japan. Witnesses in the Fukuoka Prefecture described a fireball-like object... AR2205 HIGH SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar activity is intensifying. Sunspot AR2205 has unleashed at least 5 strong M-class solar flares in the past 24... | ||||||||
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 03:46 AM PST
So in the two and a half weeks since, the news for the winter-haters has, unfortunately, only gotten worse. About 14.1 million square kilometers of snow blanketed Siberia at the end of October, the second most in records going back to 1967, according to Rutgers snow lab The record was in 1976, which broke a streak of mild winters in the eastern U.S. In addition, the speed at which snow has covered the region is the fastest since at least 1998. Taken together they signal greater chances for frigid air to spill out of the Arctic into more temperate regions of North America, Europe and Asia said Judah Cohen, director of seasonal forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Lexington, Massachusetts, who developed the theory linking Siberian snow with winter weather. "A rapid advance of Eurasian snow cover during the month of October favors that the upcoming winter will be cold across the Northern Hemisphere," Cohen said in an interview yesterday. "This past October the signal was quite robust." There are a few steps to get from the snows of Siberia to the chills in New York City. Cold air builds over the expanse of snow, strengthening the pressure system known as a Siberian high. The high weakens the winds that circle the North Pole allowing the cold air to leak into the lower latitudes. The term Polar Vortex actually refers to those winds, not the frigid weather. Link all the above with the threat of the Gulf Stream stalling and is actually now colder than it should be, which is the opposite trend to the rest of the northern hemisphere sea temperatures, we could be looking at cold temperatures humans shouldn't have to bare and probably never have before! Just over a month ago I posted an article "The Day AfterTomorrow" Is the "Gulf Stream" stalling? a huge area of the Gulf Stream was showing a colder than normal sea surface anomaly while most of the rest of the Northern Hemisphere oceans were warmer than normal, I am not an expert by any means so I am quoting NOAA here: Analysis from NOAA satellites shows that sea surface temperatures in September 2014 were well above normal. In fact, 60% of the Northern Hemisphere ocean surface was 0.5°C or more above the 1981-2010 average.
I went back to The Earth Wind Map today and to my shock and surprise I noticed the colder than normal area (Temperature Anomaly) had ballooned in size by nearly 300%, stretching from Iceland all the way down to the Canary Isles, (from Alaska to Mexico in comparison) see above! In just over two weeks the colder area has grown by literally thousands of square miles......27-10-14. See image above.
Then there is a huge part of the gulf stream bigger than the area of the US which for some reason is colder than normal and it is the part of the gulf stream the U.K. and Europe rely on to keep their ports ice free and provide a temperate winter climate. If the gulf stream has stalled the U.K. and Europe can expect a winter of devastation! Taking Atlantic multidecadal oscillation, (AMO) into consideration surely the colder than average area should not have grown so vast so quickly? As I said I am no expert in this field, if any one can help us understand this anomaly please feel free to post any quote or info below, thank you. The last time Gulf stream failed to deliver was Winter 1962/63 The Year The Gulf Stream Stalled What happened in England that winter was like something out of the film 'The Day After Tomorrow." Half a century ago the UK was in the grip of a brutal winter. Cold weather reached the UK on 22 December 1962. Snow fell across Scotland on Christmas Eve before sweeping south. The Arctic weather didn't relent until March 1963. Central England experienced its coldest winter since 1740. Rivers, lakes, and even in places the sea, froze over.
The conditions made for surreal scenes - people skating in front of Buckingham Palace, a man cycling on the Thames near Windsor Bridge, a milkman doing his deliveries on skis. For 62 consecutive days, snow lay on the ground in the south of England. The next highest number of snow lying days since then is a mere 10 in 1987. On 31 December 1962 the Times reported: "Roads were impassable at hundreds of points, many towns and villages were cut off, railways were out of action at many places or struggling against long delays on other sections, and the airports were unable till late in the day to offer landing or take-off." But the country was not crippled. Snow ploughs were deployed and the trains - mostly steam engines - got through. Vegetable prices shot up by as much as 30% as crops froze in the ground. But society continued to function despite the fact that average temperatures remained below freezing for two months. "January that year was the coldest month since 1814. There was snow everywhere and strong winds from the north and east. It was unremittingly cold. "Most of England and Wales had a blanket of snow right through the month." In February 1963 a huge snowstorm struck Northern Ireland, south west England and Wales. That led to a fall of nearly 5ft (1.5m) in Tredegar in Monmouthshire - an "outstanding amount of snow", Mr Davenport said. Thanks to | ||||||||
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 01:09 AM PST The unusual situation is harshly affecting the local fisherpeople's life, while authorities have finally started an investigation to find the cause of the problem. For reasons as yet unknown, huge numbers of fish from the same species have been dying on the tourist beaches of Ganabara Bay in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil over the past month, an unprecedented situation that is scaring the population. The municipal cleaning service have found 20 tons of shads, a particular species of fish similar to sardines and herrings, as well as four sea turtles. Surprisingly, "the tests proved that it is not a matter of chemical or toxic contamination of water," declared the oceanograph David Zee to AFP, from the State University of Rio de Janeiro (UERJ). The fisherpeople have complained of being forced to buy fish to resell, as their weekly wage has been cut by more than half, and have blaimed the activities of the giant national oil company, Petrobras. "The fisherman aren't going to poison the water as it's their lifeline. This is not because of fishermen. Why are [the authorities] not checking the activities of the petrochemical industry? Why are they not checking the refineries? It is very clear that we are witnessing a crime against the environment. What we need to know is who is responsible and what products are being used," said Alexandre Anderson, president of the Men and Women of the Sea Association to AFP. Two years ago, the Brazilian general attorney accused the Petrobras company of environmental crime, for contaminating the bay and one of the rivers. As only one species seems to be involved so far, another possible cause would be thermal pollution: the water would be too warm, therefore diminishing the solvability of oxygen, something the shads are very sensitive to, explained Zee. According to the scientist, this phenomenon would be aggravated by the fact that the circulation and change of water is more difficult in this part of the bay. Five specimens of shads have been sent for examination on Tuesday to the department of biology of the UFRJ, and the results should be known within the next week. Getty Images Source Related Starfish dying off, Bluefin Tuna all but gone and now Sardine have vanished from the Pacific...A link to Fukushima or another problem ent... | ||||||||
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 12:54 AM PST An extremely unusual cluster of earthquakes have been registered on the Nevada Oregon border in the US. Over 300 all listed as occurring in Oregon but clearly the group of quakes can be seen here on the Nevada side of the border. The 2008 Mogul earthquake swarm shook our area for months. Notable quakes ranged from a 3.6 to a 4.7. Right now a similar swarm is happening to our north and it is more severe than the Mogul swarm. In Mogul, significant quakes were spaced out over a period of weeks. Quakes of the same magnitude have happened in this swarm but they have happened over the period of a day instead of a week. Denio, Nevada is the closest town to the swarm. Denio is on the Nevada-Oregon border in Humboldt County. Since the swarm started 3 months ago, 550 quakes larger than a magnitude 2, 40 larger than a 3, and at least 5 larger than a magnitude 4 have struck. "We were kinda expecting a magnitude 5 to come out of this sooner or later because it was so similar to Mogul and the Hawthorne swarms and low and behold it just happened to be in the middle of the night," said Graham Kent with the Nevada Seismology Lab. The biggest quake so far, a magnitude 4.7, struck at 12:34 Thursday morning. That is the same size as the biggest Mogul quake, but it likely won't be the biggest quake in this swarm. Seismologist worry the coming quakes are growing bigger. "If whether we all just jump a couple rungs and get into the 6 level and communities around Lakeview, Denio and over by Surprise Valley in California start to be affected in terms of being able to cause damage," said Kent. We might feel some shaking but the swarm likely won't affect us in Reno. It's important to watch because it can teach us about future swarms. "What we can learn from this swarm up by Denio will also help us again have a better sense of what is the scope of possibilities," said Kent. Earthquake swarms are something that are unique to our area. Where California may experience a major earthquake followed by several aftershocks, Nevada often has foreshocks that build in intensity toward a larger magnitude earthquake. Source Related Gary Walton An extremely unusual cluster of earthquakes have been registered on the Nevada Oregon border in the US. Over three dozen quakes all... A magnitude 6.6 has been recorded 72km NNE of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea. It is the third magnitude 6 or higher this week and the third so far... Large earthquakes have risen by over 450% since 1900 but thats not the whole story!I accessed the earthquake information web-site USGS and downloaded every quake of a magnitude 6 or greater and fed the information into a series of graphs.... | ||||||||
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 12:32 AM PST as it migrates towards the center of the solar disk. It has produced three M2-flares (R1-Minor) in the last 8 hours, 7 M-class in the last three days and AR 2205 will be facing Earth this weekend. Based on its location, Region 2205 still has approximately 10 more days on the visible disk, with chances increasing each day that any coronal mass ejection (CME) produced could connect with the Sun/Earth magnetic field lines. Forecasters are awaiting SOHO LASCO coronagraph imagery to filter in so they can analyse the CMEs associated with these last few flares. 24 hour summery:Solar activity is high.Region 2205 (N15E46, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) produced an M3/2n flare at 06/0139 UTC, an M5/1n flare at 06/0346 UTC with associated Type II (732 km/s) and Type IV radio emissions, and an M2/2n flare with an associated Tenflare (200 sfu) this period. Region 2205 appeared to be under minor development this period but a lack of SDO imagery made detailed region analysis difficult. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) associated with flare activity from Region 2205 were observed off the northeast limb on SOHO LASCO coronagraph imagery but were not Earth-directed. Forecast...M-class (R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)) flare activity is likely over the next three days (07-09 Nov) with a chance for X-class (R3 or greater) flare activity with Region 2205 being the likely source.Solar Ham Spaceweather NOAA Related AR2205 HIGH SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar activity is intensifying. Sunspot AR2205 has unleashed at least 5 strong M-class solar flares in the past 24... | ||||||||
Posted: 07 Nov 2014 12:35 AM PST A magnitude 6.6 has been recorded 72km NNE of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea. It is the third magnitude 6 or higher this week and the third so far in November. Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage. No Tsunami Warnings, Advisories or Watches are in effect. On November the first we had a magnitude 6 earthquake in the Easter Island region and a magnitude 7.1 near Fiji. Today's earthquake is this years 137th quake measuring magnitude 6 or more and the third of November. The biggest quake this year was a magnitude 8.2- 94km NW of Iquique, Chile on the second of April earlier in the year. 2014 Has already surpassed the number of quakes in 2012 133 and is hot on the tails for 2013 which registered 143. 2011 had a record 207 quakes of M6 or more, the most in one year since 1900, see graph below. Last month we had 9 quakes of M6 or more the biggest being M7.3 WSW of Jiquilillo, Nicaragua. September had 8 quakes of M6 or more. August had 9 quakes of M6 or more. July had 18 quakes of M6 or more. June had 16 quakes of M6 or more. May had 18 quakes of M6 or more. April had 26 quakes of M6 or more, the biggest was a magnitude 8.2- 94km NW of Iquique, Chile on the second of April March had 17 quakes of M6 or more. February had 8 quakes of M6 or more. January had 6 quakes of M6 or more. With just a couple of months remaining 2014 looks like it will be an average year for M6+ quakes continuing the trend set in 2013 which had 143 major quakes, 2012 had 133 and 2011 had a record 207 quakes of M6 or more, the most in one year since 1900. Earthquakes M6 or greater since 1900All this information can be found directly below. USGS Top Image Related Gary Walton An extremely unusual cluster of earthquakes have been registered on the Nevada Oregon border in the US. Over three dozen quakes all... Large earthquakes have risen by over 450% since 1900 but thats not the whole story!I accessed the earthquake information web-site USGS and downloaded every quake of a magnitude 6 or greater and fed the information into a series of graphs.... |
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